Cryptopolitan 2025-12-23 12:40:54

US economy slows down into 2026, but analysts are not calling it a recession yet

The U.S. economy is slowing down heading into 2026, and no one in the room is pretending otherwise. Invesco’s market analyst Ben Gutteridge said on Monday that “I’ve no doubt the U.S. economy is slowing.” Economic growth is clearly cooling after that government shutdown , job creation is dipping, and yes, while this doesn’t mean a recession is guaranteed, investors aren’t ignoring the signs either. Some of them think this slowdown feels a lot like what happens right before everything tips over. Q3 showed strength, but it’s fading fast The third quarter gave a bit of a show. The Commerce Department said GDP likely expanded at an annual rate of 3.3%, and a Reuters poll of economists had backed that call. That number came off stronger consumer spending and business investment, but there’s a catch. Most of that spending wasn’t organic growth. It was consumers rushing to buy electric vehicles before September 30, when tax credits for those cars expired. The economy had already grown at 3.8% in Q2, so yes, Q3 looked good on paper, but only if you didn’t look too hard. That government shutdown hit the economy directly. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated the shutdown could slash 1.0 to 2.0 percentage points off Q4 GDP. While the CBO expects some of that to come back over time, it still thinks $7 billion to $14 billion in economic activity will be gone for good. The Commerce Department is also expected to release early numbers for corporate profits and gross domestic income for Q3, which will offer more angles on where the slowdown is coming from. But so far, the slowdown’s there, no matter how you look at it. European equities are gaining the upper hand While the U.S. is dragging its feet, Europe is walking taller into 2026. Ben said Invesco expects European stocks to pull ahead, because the European Central Bank is cutting rates early next year. Banks across the continent are also lending again. Big government spending is coming in through infrastructure and defense projects. On top of that, valuations are lower, and that matters to anyone actually buying. The dollar hasn’t done much in the last six months, but Invesco expects it to weaken going forward. That shift would put European assets in a better light for global investors. “In part that would be because we think the dollar may weaken further from here,” Ben said . Get $50 free to trade crypto when you sign up to Bybit now

Наиболее читаемые новости

Solana: Short-term pain, long-term hope? SOL...
2025-12-23
Crypto Whales Are Accumulating This $0.035 De...
2025-12-23
Marinade Finance Blacklists Over 50 Validator...
2025-12-23
Former FTX President’s Startup Secures $35M f...
2025-12-23
Payment companies raised a record $6.2 billio...
2025-12-23
COPM is available for trading!
2025-12-23
New Epstein Documents Fuel High-Stakes Bets o...
2025-12-23
From FTX fallout to fresh capital: Former US...
2025-12-23

Связанные новости

Прочтите Отказ от ответственности : Весь контент, представленный на нашем сайте, гиперссылки, связанные приложения, форумы, блоги, учетные записи социальных сетей и другие платформы («Сайт») предназначен только для вашей общей информации, приобретенной у сторонних источников. Мы не предоставляем никаких гарантий в отношении нашего контента, включая, но не ограничиваясь, точность и обновление. Никакая часть содержания, которое мы предоставляем, представляет собой финансовый совет, юридическую консультацию или любую другую форму совета, предназначенную для вашей конкретной опоры для любых целей. Любое использование или доверие к нашему контенту осуществляется исключительно на свой страх и риск. Вы должны провести собственное исследование, просмотреть, проанализировать и проверить наш контент, прежде чем полагаться на них. Торговля - очень рискованная деятельность, которая может привести к серьезным потерям, поэтому проконсультируйтесь с вашим финансовым консультантом, прежде чем принимать какие-либо решения. Никакое содержание на нашем Сайте не предназначено для запроса или предложения